Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 6.719076e-01 0.860857 1.073424 1.327495 1.620144 1.944020 2.326879
2025-08-10 4.038439e-01 0.635513 0.930605 1.321194 1.811940 2.396170 3.132081
2025-08-17 2.292614e-01 0.456957 0.788318 1.272463 1.929774 2.761377 3.862682
2025-08-24 1.482091e-01 0.373138 0.743055 1.329933 2.176103 3.295562 4.831272
2025-08-31 8.726691e-02 0.290493 0.672947 1.332099 2.337985 3.723491 5.683530
2025-09-07 5.832083e-02 0.252158 0.661701 1.415162 2.614726 4.315588 6.774084
2025-09-14 3.641317e-02 0.213692 0.637444 1.468936 2.846634 4.852483 7.808152
2025-09-21 2.053666e-02 0.175844 0.601385 1.493226 3.029629 5.323435 8.764452
2025-09-28 9.211313e-03 0.135362 0.544212 1.467097 3.124970 5.665875 9.548065
2025-10-05 4.271375e-03 0.112279 0.518980 1.494702 3.306069 6.138418 10.525897
2025-10-12 1.515621e-03 0.090816 0.488608 1.505284 3.455566 6.565278 11.446531
2025-10-19 2.128791e-04 0.066761 0.437734 1.462573 3.505813 6.837617 12.146249
2025-10-26 6.998489e-07 0.047879 0.392266 1.424715 3.564154 7.129947 12.893488
2025-11-02 NaN 0.036967 0.368835 1.433202 3.707066 7.561395 13.859690
2025-11-09 NaN 0.024798 0.327648 1.389157 3.745688 7.823977 14.577189
2025-11-16 NaN 0.021438 0.328743 1.454109 3.998444 8.444667 15.852366
2025-11-23 NaN 0.015706 0.308847 1.458410 4.130463 8.868049 16.833133
2025-11-30 NaN 0.014471 0.318791 1.547818 4.437921 9.592928 18.292164
2025-12-07 NaN 0.012179 0.317925 1.605539 4.682972 10.217948 19.606552
2025-12-14 NaN 0.009286 0.307101 1.631638 4.863359 10.736901 20.763979
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005789 0.280623 1.604003 4.928343 11.058579 21.616839
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004254 0.272601 1.633423 5.115430 11.594823 22.815667
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002829 0.259964 1.644707 5.262718 12.063787 23.913578